A Global Trends report authored by the American National Intelligence Agency has ranked Uganda among the 15 countries at a high risk of state failure by 2030.
According to the report, seven indicators were used by the researchers at Sandia National Laboratories to calculate the Human Resilience Index.
These are population growth rate, population density, caloric intake per capita, renewable fresh water per capita, arable land per capita, median age, and population health (including infant and child mortality and life expectancy).
The listed countries were also found to have a high risk of instability, conflict, or poor human ecology and resilience.
Resilience is a quality that allows human systems to rebound from shocks, such as droughts or famines, floods, human migration or conflict events.
The Human Resilience Index and Modeling work (HRIM) is currently applied to 154 countries using United Nations (UN) data.